Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Fantasy Player's Edge

April 29, 2008

The Player's Edge welcomes and thanks you for your comments
and will try to answer questions in the context of the narrative.


Roster Shuffle:

Mad Max Scherzer is about to enter Thunderdome. He's
a sure thing and the second mega name (Cueto) to rise to
the bigs this year. He's worthy of a priority waiver and will
initially make his contribution in era, whip and k's. It's not
expected that he'll close or start. The D'Backs have plenty
of front of the rotation types with Webb, Haren and Johnson,
if he's right. If you have him, set your expectations accordingly
and expect him to join the rotation on or before Memorial
Day. They'll most certainly manage his innings in the range
of 150-170 or 20-22 starts. Kershaw could be next and is
thought to be even better.

Brett Myers has the dreaded velocity issue. His heater,
normally 95 mph or so topped out at 88 last start. He
claims that he's fine so use him with caution.

Rafael Soriano's prediction that he'd ready today were
dashed as he's still elbow sore. Nostradamus he's not.
This could linger for awhile. Let it play out if you have
him on the DL.

193. That's the number of innings used that would
keep you on track to deploy maximum innings (1250)
over the course of the season in Rotisserie. A number
significantly above or below should be a call to action.

Chipper's chipper again and is expected back today if he
can manage to get his jersey on without slipping a disc.

A-Rod was replaced in the 8th inning last night. It's
probably precautionary. Tonight's lineup card will tell.

Justin Upton was uxexpectedly in the D'Back 's lineup
last night. That's why we check these things!!

Yunel Escobar is expected to return today but assume
nothing. Check the Bravos dance card before activating
Esky.

Mike Jacobs has a nagging finger injury that screams so
bad that he can't swing, a major liability for a clean up hitter.
They'll sit him until it quiets down and then he'll return to
the lineup. That begs the question of will he be consistently
available?

Grady Sizemore is purportedly good to go but they may give
him one more day of rest. Keep an eye on this and prepare for
the worst just in case. Pick up a top of the order type to see you
through in the event he's not as good as they say he is. Fred
Lewis would be a good short term solution.

Fragile Kendricks is still sore but know where near as sore as
his owners who spent a mid range pick on him. Maybe he returns
over the weekend, maybe not.

Victorino, Cameron and Lowell should all be ready for work today.

Roger Clemens cross dresses. Andy Pettitte's wife confirmed the
allegations claiming the pair shared a wardrobe. Rusty Hardin flatly
denies these accusations professing Roger's preference for Nancy's
duds.


Streamers: (tomorrow's probable starters available as free agents)

Use these players to gain advantage in wins and strikeouts.

Jair Jurrjens- his name in Viking folklore means "fastball on the
black, use slider as out pitch". His mother named him and was an
All-Nordic Viking softball star. No history vs. the Nationals but is
3-2, 3.45/1.21 with 25 k's over 31 innings this season. He's better
at home but Nationals lineup may seem like home cooking.

Nick Blackburn- he pitches better when surrounded by plastic walls.
It's a childhood thing so don't ask. 1-0, 2.52/1.43 with 6 k's in 7
frames against the Pale Hose


Spotties: (tomorrow's position players available as free agents)

Use these players to fill in for injured players and on off days.

Jose Guillen- he actually won Millwood from Tom Hicks in a card game
in Amarillo. Kevin is bound to serve. 9/23, a jack, 7 ribbies with only
2 whiffs.

Johnny Damon- didn't we all like him better as Guitarzan! He has
managed to Bond with Jeremy as a gentile. 14/32, 6 extras, 2 dingers,
6 rbi and a stolen base for good measure.


Start/Sit
: (today)

Guide to using bench players when matchups are favorable.

Kevin Youkilis (start)-he's elated to start his week on Halladay.
11/32, 4 multiples, a clout and 4 rbi.

Ryan Zimmerman (start)- actually flew to Atlanta disguised as
a fountain of youth to assure that Glavine would take the hill
today. Word has it that he was a pig at a trough. 9/29, 4 extras,
5 ribolinas with only 2 itsy bitsy k's.

Guide to sit starters when matchups are unfavorable.

Normally sit these players in Roto formats only.


Vernon Wells (sit)- still befuddled that Daisuke has become Dice-K.
In America homey it's day-suck. What up with that? 2/12 but has
made contact with only 1 k.

Tom Gorzelanny (sit)- knows in his heart that the "Big Apple" is
rotten to the core. 0-2, 10.45/2.32 with 3 k's in 10 innings.


Studs and Duds
: ( a recap of yesterday's picks and pans)


Ryan Ludwig (spot)- 0/5

Chris Gomez (spot)- rained out

Bobby Crosby (start)-0/4, run

Orlando Cabrera (start)- 0/5

Adam Dunn (sit)- 2/4, run, rbi

Grady Sizemore (sit)- DNP


How To: ( this section is devoted to the fundamentals of daily play)

Head To Head: Player's Edge(PE) vs. Opposition(OP):

Week 5: Tuesday


Weekly Tot: R-H-RB-SB -BA/ W-SV-K ER-WH -SCORE


------PE----2--0--0--1--.278/-1--0--3-0.00-1.69---7
------OP---1--0--0--0--.250/-0--0--2-9.00-2.00---0

Offense: Lineups:

-----PE-----/----- OP

^B.Molina----------^I. Rodriguez
^Teixeira----------^Ortiz
^Roberts----------^Polanco
^Braun------------^Hall
^Escobar----------^Jeter
^Griffey-----------^Burrell
^C. Young---------^M. Ramirez
^Milledge--------- ^Pierre
^Figgins-----------^Ibanez
Betancourt---------Keppinger
---------------------G. Anderson
---------------------Lowell- DL

------PE------//-----OP
5/18-2-0-0-1 // 1/4-1-0-0-0 (daily totals: H/AB,R,HR,RBI)

Pitching: Rotation-Closers

-----PE----/------OP

Harang----------^J. Santana
Shields------------Zambrano
Weaver-----------Myers
Cain--------------Maine
S.Hill-------------R. Johnson
^Hughes---------Pettitte
^Saito------------Lohse
^Fuentes-------^Rodriguez
^Wood--------- ^Jenks
^Acosta-------- ^Sherrill
R. Soriano-DL
Harden (DL)

-----PE--------//------OP
1W/0S, 5.1-0-9-3//0W/0S, 2-2-4-2 (daily tot: W/S,IP,ER,WH,K)

Weekly Totals- Batting Avg. PE(5/18) - OP (1/4)
Weekly Totals- ERA (0/(5.1/9) - OP ERA (2/(2/9) -(er/(ip/9)
Weekly Totals- Whip (9/5.1) - OP WHIP (4/2) - (w+h/ip)
Weekly Starts(est/week to date) PE--7-----OP--8

Daily Activity:


Strategy: with the Mets rained out, Santana's start was rescheduled
for today giving the OP another chance to activate him. Tonight
features a full compliment of offensive starters on both squads with
PE sending Hughes to the hill as an offset to Santana should he be
activated. Escobar may return today making Betancourt expendable.
I'm considering Betancourt for Betancourt for saves. His bullpen
headed by K-Rod is solid. Tonight's full slate of games will begin to
shape this week's strategy.

Game Keys: The PE has opened a 7-0 lead primarily due to a Roberts
stolen base and uneven outing from Matt Cain. Cain got the win with
5.1 shutout innings but allowed 9 whip and struck out only 3.


^ -designates an active player on today's roster.


Final Thoughts:

The Player's Edge participates in many leagues but elected to
follow a team in a Public League to better approximate what might
be faced by a wide majority of players that use the Edge daily. This
team plays in a standard 5x5 scoring format and drafted 7th of 12
teams in a 21 round on-line live event in late March. We'll follow this
team throughout the entire 2008 fantasy campaign.

PE is in 4th place, 6.5 games out of 1st and 3 games behind the
3rd place team heading into week 5.



All Done!

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